首页> 外文OA文献 >Sensitivity analysis with dependence and variance-based measures for spatio-temporal numerical simulators
【2h】

Sensitivity analysis with dependence and variance-based measures for spatio-temporal numerical simulators

机译:基于依赖和基于方差的时空数值模拟器的灵敏度分析

代理获取
本网站仅为用户提供外文OA文献查询和代理获取服务,本网站没有原文。下单后我们将采用程序或人工为您竭诚获取高质量的原文,但由于OA文献来源多样且变更频繁,仍可能出现获取不到、文献不完整或与标题不符等情况,如果获取不到我们将提供退款服务。请知悉。

摘要

In a case of radioactive release in the environment, modeling the radionuclide atmospheric dispersion is particularly useful for emergency response procedures and risk assessment. For this, the CEA has developed a numerical simulator, called Ceres-Mithra, to predict spatial maps of radionuclide concentrations at different instants. This computer code depends on many uncertain scalar and temporal parameters, describing the radionuclide, release or weather characteristics. The purpose is to detect the input parameters the uncertainties of which highly affect the predicted concentrations and to quantify their influences. To this end, we present various measures for the sensitivity analysis of a spatial model. Some of them lead to as many analyses as spatial locations (site sensitivity indices) while others consider a single one, with respect to the whole spatial domain (block sensitivity indices). For both categories, variance-based and dependence measures are considered, based on recent literature. All of these sensitivity measures are applied to the CM computer code and compared to each other, showing the complementarity of block and site sensitivity analyses. Finally, a sensitivity analysis summarizing the input uncertainty contribution over the entirety of the spatio-temporal domain is proposed.
机译:对于环境中的放射性释放,对放射性核素大气扩散进行建模对于应急程序和风险评估特别有用。为此,CEA开发了一种名为Ceres-Mithra的数值模拟器,以预测不同时刻放射性核素浓度的空间图。该计算机代码取决于许多不确定的标量和时间参数,这些参数描述了放射性核素,释放或天气特征。目的是检测不确定性会严重影响预测浓度的输入参数,并量化其影响。为此,我们提出了用于空间模型敏感性分析的各种措施。他们中的一些人进行的分析与空间位置(场所敏感度指标)一样多,而其他人则针对整个空间域(块敏感度指标)进行单个分析。根据最近的文献,对于这两个类别,都考虑了基于方差和依存度的度量。所有这些敏感度度量均应用于CM计算机代码,并相互比较,显示出区块和站点敏感度分析的互补性。最后,提出了一个敏感性分析,总结了整个时空域中输入不确定性的贡献。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
代理获取

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号